Yes, they are silly. Yes, they are corrupt. But they are also entertaining, so I'll watch.
And predicting can be tough, because the Hollywood Foreign Press Association has conflicting motives. They like stars. OK, they are blinded by them. How else can you explain the nominations this year for Angelia Jolie and Halle Berry? But they also like to show off their acumen, so sometimes they try to prove it by some early awards to up and commers. And then sometimes they are just inexplicable. We'll see hwat they are this year.
I am restricting myself to the 14 movie categories. I just don't know enough about the TV shows to make a good prediction. Although I am rooting for Temple Grandin.
These categories are in the order they are presented on the awards' official website.
BEST PICTURE DRAMA
I think the two heavyweights here are The King's Speech and The Social Network. Neither would surprise me. I'm going with The King's Speech.
BEST ACTRESS DRAMA
Natalie Portman in The Black Swan. Her main competition for the Oscar is in the comedy category.
BEST ACTOR DRAMA
Whenever someone is a heavy favorite for the Oscar the globes tend to want to say then knew it too. Colin Firth is a heavy favorite this year for The King's Speech.
BEST PICTURE COMEDY/MUSCIAL
The Kids Are Alright is great. Three of the nominees are middling, and I;m not sure what The Tourist ranks as. I hope the great film wins.
BEST ACTRESS COMEDY/MUSICAL
Yje other Oscar favorite for best actress is Annette Bening for The Kids Are Alright. I expect her here as well.
BEST ACTOR COMEDY/MUSICAL
Oh dear. None of the guys is a serious contender for the Oscars. With Johnny Depp double nominated, I believe he will win, for the better film, Alice in Wonderland.
BEST ANIMATED FILM
Toy Story 3 in a walk.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The most acclaimed is Biutiful, so that's the prediction.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
This may be the most wide open category, as I can see any of the five winning. I'll go with the most out of left field, Jacki Weaver for Animal Kingdom.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
For the most tranformative performance of the bunch, the unrecognizable Christian Bale for The Fighter.
BEST DIRECTOR
Here's where I see a split vote from best picture drama. The flashier is David Fincher for The Social Network.
BEST SCREENPLAY
Going with the most famous, Aaron Sorkin for The Social Network.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
If they stay traditional, it's The King's Speech.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
The Burlesque double nominations here give me paude, but I see a reward for Disney's return to form, and a win for "I See The Light" from Tangled.
...and the envelopes are now sealed. We'll see what happens.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
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