Nominees: Arrival (Bradford Young); La La Land (Linus Sandgren); Lion (Greig Fraser); Moonlight (James Laxton); Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)
Winner: La La Land. The use of color influenced by classic musicals makes this a slam dunk.
Best Costume Design
Nominees: Allied (Joanna Johnston); Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Colleen Atwood); Florence Foster Jenkins (Consolata Boyle); Jackie (Madeline Fontaine); La La Land (Mary Zophres)
Winner: Jackie. Other nominees are stylish, but this is an actual re-creation of history done well. Fantastic Beasts and La La Land have a chance, the other two would be shocking.
Best Film Editing
Nominees: Arrival (Joe Walker); Hacksaw Ridge (John Gilbert); Hell or High Water (Jake Roberts); La La Land (Tom Cross); Moonlight (Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders).
Winner: La La Land. This is usually a good category for musicals, Cross already has one Oscar editing for Damien Chazelle -- he won for Whiplash.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Nominees: A Man Called Ove (Love Larson and Eva Con Bahr); Star Trek Beyond (S. Anne Carroll and Joel Harlow); Suicide Squad (Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini and Christopher Nelson)
Winner: Star Trek Beyond. I'm guessing the movie people actually saw that they actually liked has the best chance.
Best Original Score
Nominees: Jackie (Mica Levi); La La Land (Justin Hurwitz); Lion (Dustin O'Halloran and Hauschka); Moonlight (Nicholas Brittel); Passengers (Thomas Newman)
Winner: La La Land. Easiest pick of the year.
Best Original Song
Nominees: "Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land (Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, and Justin Paul); "Can't Stop the Feeling!" from Trolls (Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, Karl Johan Schuster); "City of Stars" from La La Land (Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, and Justin Paul); "The Empty Chair" from Jim: The James Foley Story (J. Ralph and Sting); "How Far I'll Go" from Moana (Lin-Manuel Miranda).
Winner: "City of Stars" from La La Land. It won the Golden Globe, so is the designated choice. But the emotional climax of the film is "Audition" so it will get a lot of votes. If there is a split, "How Far I'll Go" has a slight chance. But not a major chance.
Best Production Design
Nominees: Arrival (Patrice Vermette, Paul Hotte); Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Stuart Craig, Anna Pinnock); Hail, Caesar! (Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh); La La Land (David Wasco, Sandy Reynolds-Wasco); Passengers (Guy Hendrix Dyas, Gene Serdena).
Winner: La La Land. The use of colors is highly stylized. The look of Fantastic Beasts has a chance as well.
Best Sound Editing
Nominees: Arrival (Sylvain Bellemare); Deepwater Horizon (Wylie Stateman and Renee Tondelli); Hacksaw Ridge (Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright); La La Land (Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan); Sully (Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman).
Winner: Arrival. Often this category goes to the blockbuster with the most sound. But sound design is key to Arrival, and that is rewarded here.
Best Sound Mixing
Nominees: Arrival (Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye); Hacksaw Ridge (Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie and Peter Grace); La La Land (Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee and Steve A. Morrow); Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson); 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi (Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Mac Ruth)
Winner: La La Land. Always a good category for musicals, so I am going to pick the musical.
Best Visual Effects
Nominees: Deepwater Horizon (Craig Hammack, Jason Snell, Jason Billington and Burt Dalton); Doctor Strange (Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli and Paul Corbould); The Jungle Book (Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon); Kubo and the Two Strings (Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean and Brad Schiff); Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel and Neil Corbould).
Winner: The Jungle Book. Everything in the film except the boy is a computer effect.
Best Animated Feature Film
Nominees: Kubo and the Two Strings, Moana, My Life as a Zucchini, The Red Turtle, Zootopia.
Winner: Zootopia. The message of tolerance allows it to override a very strong field.
Best Foreign Language Film
Nominees: Tanna (Australia); Land of Mine (Denmark); Toni Erdmann (Germany); The Salesman (Iraq); A Man Called Ove (Sweden).
Winner: The Salesman, Director Asghar Farhadi already has one Oscar. Also, he will win votes as a protest against Trump's travel ban. Given the presumed frontrunner, Toni Erdmann, is a dark comedy, which rarely does well in this category, I am picking the Iranian film for the upset.
Best Documentary Feature
Nominees: Fire at Sea; I Am Not Your Negro; Life, Animated; O.J.: Made in America; 13th.
Winner: O.J.: Made in America. Epic filmmaking rewarded, and also it does not hurt it is the most seen of the five nominees.
The shorts will be addressed in future posts.
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